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Three 9s vs. Four 9s: The Exponential Cost of Reliability

The difference between 99.9% and 99.99% sounds small, but it changes your entire engineering culture. We break down the math of downtime.

A
Amine Afia@eth_chainId
3 min read

Availability is a game of nines. As you add a nine to the end of your percentage, you are reducing your allowable downtime by a factor of 10. This requires exponentially more complex infrastructure, redundancy, and automated recovery systems.

The Downtime Math

Let's look at what these numbers actually mean in terms of time your system is allowed to be dead to the world.

Availability TierDowntime / YearDowntime / MonthDowntime / Week
99.9% ("Three Nines")8.76 hours43.8 minutes10.1 minutes
99.99% ("Four Nines")52.6 minutes4.38 minutes1.01 minutes
99.999% ("Five Nines")5.26 minutes26 seconds6 seconds

The Operational Gap

Three Nines (99.9%) is the industry standard for most commercial SaaS applications. It allows for nearly 45 minutes of downtime a month. This means you can survive a bad deployment, roll back, and maybe even have a small database outage, all while staying within your SLA.

Four Nines (99.99%) is a different beast. You have 4 minutes a month. That is not enough time for a human to wake up, check PagerDuty, open a laptop, and debug. Four nines requires automated failover, active-active redundancy, and zero-downtime deployments. It is the realm of core infrastructure providers like AWS S3 or Google Spanner.

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